"Lloyd Parker" <lparker@NOSPAMemory.edu> wrote in message
news:bql23n$c29$23@puck.cc.emory.edu...
> In article <nLjzb.86$uE6.60@nwrddc02.gnilink.net>,
> "OrygunGuy" <orygun.guy@verizon.net> wrote:
> >A technical paper that appeared in July, 2003 in GSA Today, a journal of
the
> >Geological Society of America, gave evidence that the periodic cooling
and
> >warming of the planet over the past millions of years is cyclical and is
> >caused by a complex interplay between solar activity and cosmic rays. It
> >concluded that carbon dioxide emissions are not the main "driver" of
climate
> >change.
> >
> >Dr. Nir Shaviv, an astrophysicist from the Racah Institute of Physics of
the
> >Hebrew University of Jerusalem, and Prof. Jan Veiser a geochemist at the
> >University of Ottawa in Canada, say that temperature variations are due
more
> >to cosmic forces than to the actions of man.
> >
> >In the article, Shaviv and Veiser tell of their studies illustrating a
> >correlation between past cosmic ray flux - the high-energy particles
> >reaching us from stellar explosions - and long-term climate variability,
as
> >recorded by oxygen isotopes trapped in rocks formed by ancient marine
> >fossils. The level of cosmic ray activity reaching the earth and its
> >atmosphere was reconstructed using another isotopic record in meteorites.
> >
> >The study showed that peak periods of cosmic rays reaching the earth over
> >the past 550 million years coincided with lower global temperatures,
> >apparently due to the way that the cosmic rays promote low-level cloud
> >formation, hence blocking out the sun. No correlation was obtained,
> >however, with the changing amount of atmospheric carbon dioxide.
> >
> >The conclusion of the two scientists is that celestial processes seem to
be
> >the dominant influence on climate change, and that increased carbon
dioxide
> >release, while certainly not beneficial, is only secondary to those
forces
> >which are beyond our control.
>
> But we know that the warming TODAY is due to CO2.
No, we don't.
It doesn't matter that
> warmings in the past may have had other causes. That's like arguing that
> since exercise raised your body temp. yesterday, a virus cannot be the
cause
> of your fever today.
Still using the same feeble arguments I see.
>
> >
> >For me I think I'll do what I see Frank say all of the time...
> >
> >
> >yeah see if you can find out some thing about the trails
> >
> >
> >Frank. Sling some mud for me!!!!!!!
> >Braille trail 4 wheelers
> >we wheel by feel
> >79 chev 3/4 bb
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >"z" <gzuckier@yahoo.com> wrote in message
> >news:b5b4685f.0312020814.750e4869@posting.google.com...
> >> "Douglas A. Shrader" <dshrader@nospam.com> wrote in message
> >news:<vrvbrp3s87ief3@corp.supernews.com>...
> >> > "z" <gzuckier@yahoo.com> wrote in message
> >> > news:b5b4685f.0311220808.37daf112@posting.google.com...
> >> > > "C. E. White" <cewhite3@mindspring.com> wrote in message
> >> > news:<3FBD08A4.14331320@mindspring.com>...
> >> > > > Lloyd Parker wrote:
> >> > > >
> >> > > > > >Fact: we don't *know* why there were warming periods in the
past.
> >> > > > >
> >> > > > > Irrelevant. We know why there's one now.
> >> > > >
> >> > > > No we don't!
> >> > > >
> >> > > > Some scientist believe the reason is an increase in the
atmospheric
> >> > concentration
> >> > > > of CO2. They may be right or not. Your agreement with their
belief
> >does
> >> > not prove
> >> > > > it. Citing papers, even peer reviewed papers, still doesn't prove
> >> > anything. The
> >> > > > global climate is a very complicated system with lots of inputs.
> >Looking
> >> > at one
> >> > > > input and one change and declaring they are cause and effect is
BS.
> >As a
> >> > > > scientist you should know this. The scientist doing climate
research
> >> > don't even
> >> > > > have really good data on the solar constant for more than the
last
> >few
> >> > years.
> >> > > > They are estimating historic temperatures from sketchy data or
> >trying to
> >> > infere
> >> > > > it from effects that they believe are related to the temperature.
> >The
> >> > errors
> >> > > > associated with these measurement are much greater than the
changes
> >they
> >> > are
> >> > > > claiming. It is junk science. They decided on the conclusion and
> >then
> >> > groomed the
> >> > > > data to fit it. Anyone that doesn't agree with the establishment
is
> >> > treated as a
> >> > > > loon.
> >> > >
> >> > > The IPCC model of climate change is hardly "Looking at one input
and
> >> > > one change and declaring they are cause and effect". In fact, all
> >> > > inputs we currently know of as affecting climate are considered,
and
> >> > > the best estimate of their effects are calculated, complete with
> >> > > confidence limits. What makes you think otherwise? What are you
> >> > > reading that says it was "Looking at one input and one change and
> >> > > declaring they are cause and effect"? What makes you say they
"decided
> >> > > on the conclusion and then groomed the data to fit it"? Was there
some
> >> > > kind of big meeting where environmentalists or liberals or the
> >> > > climatology establishment or somebody decided that we should screw
the
> >> > > economy and the best way to do so was to pretend there was global
> >> > > warming? Isn't it a bit more likely that the energy industries et
al
> >> > > have an axe to grind regarding preventing any restrictions on their
> >> > > operation?
> >> > > And there are plenty of scientists who disagree with the
establishment
> >> > > who are no treated as loons, in addition to the actual loons.
> >> >
> >> > I believe they are wrong. They discount solar influence when IMHO it
is
> >a
> >> > far more likely cause. WE know solar output is variable, we know how
> >great a
> >> > temperature change can result from moderate changes in solar heating
> >(think
> >> > seasons), and anyone who dismisses Solar influence as a major force
> >behind
> >> > global warming (Hi LP) is, IMHO, in denial.
> >>
> >> Well, here are the estimated magnitudes of the components in the IPCC
> >> model, with confidence limits <pws.prserv.net/gzuckier/warming.jpg>.
> >> Compare the magnitude of the solar component, though large, with the
> >> magnitude of the CO2 component, even with the max end of the solar
> >> confidence limit and the min end of the CO2 confidence limit. The
> >> thing being, that the reasons for the IPCC adopting these estimates
> >> are given in the report along with references to the published
> >> studies, etc. A far cry from just saying they 'discount' solar
> >> warming. So do you have any such evidence for your more solar
> >> position? (This wan't meant to be as hostile a challenge as it sounds
> >> on reading it, just a conversational inquiry tone).
> >
> >