In article <nLjzb.86$uE6.60@nwrddc02.gnilink.net>,
"OrygunGuy" <orygun.guy@verizon.net> wrote:
>A technical paper that appeared in July, 2003 in GSA Today, a journal of the
>Geological Society of America, gave evidence that the periodic cooling and
>warming of the planet over the past millions of years is cyclical and is
>caused by a complex interplay between solar activity and cosmic rays. It
>concluded that carbon dioxide emissions are not the main "driver" of climate
>change.
>
>Dr. Nir Shaviv, an astrophysicist from the Racah Institute of Physics of the
>Hebrew University of Jerusalem, and Prof. Jan Veiser a geochemist at the
>University of Ottawa in Canada, say that temperature variations are due more
>to cosmic forces than to the actions of man.
>
>In the article, Shaviv and Veiser tell of their studies illustrating a
>correlation between past cosmic ray flux - the high-energy particles
>reaching us from stellar explosions - and long-term climate variability, as
>recorded by oxygen isotopes trapped in rocks formed by ancient marine
>fossils. The level of cosmic ray activity reaching the earth and its
>atmosphere was reconstructed using another isotopic record in meteorites.
>
>The study showed that peak periods of cosmic rays reaching the earth over
>the past 550 million years coincided with lower global temperatures,
>apparently due to the way that the cosmic rays promote low-level cloud
>formation, hence blocking out the sun. No correlation was obtained,
>however, with the changing amount of atmospheric carbon dioxide.
>
>The conclusion of the two scientists is that celestial processes seem to be
>the dominant influence on climate change, and that increased carbon dioxide
>release, while certainly not beneficial, is only secondary to those forces
>which are beyond our control.
But we know that the warming TODAY is due to CO2. It doesn't matter that
warmings in the past may have had other causes. That's like arguing that
since exercise raised your body temp. yesterday, a virus cannot be the cause
of your fever today.
>
>For me I think I'll do what I see Frank say all of the time...
>
>
>yeah see if you can find out some thing about the trails
>
>
>Frank. Sling some mud for me!!!!!!!
>Braille trail 4 wheelers
>we wheel by feel
>79 chev 3/4 bb
>
>
>
>
>
>"z" <gzuckier@yahoo.com> wrote in message
>news:b5b4685f.0312020814.750e4869@posting.google.com...
>> "Douglas A. Shrader" <dshrader@nospam.com> wrote in message
>news:<vrvbrp3s87ief3@corp.supernews.com>...
>> > "z" <gzuckier@yahoo.com> wrote in message
>> > news:b5b4685f.0311220808.37daf112@posting.google.com...
>> > > "C. E. White" <cewhite3@mindspring.com> wrote in message
>> > news:<3FBD08A4.14331320@mindspring.com>...
>> > > > Lloyd Parker wrote:
>> > > >
>> > > > > >Fact: we don't *know* why there were warming periods in the past.
>> > > > >
>> > > > > Irrelevant. We know why there's one now.
>> > > >
>> > > > No we don't!
>> > > >
>> > > > Some scientist believe the reason is an increase in the atmospheric
>> > concentration
>> > > > of CO2. They may be right or not. Your agreement with their belief
>does
>> > not prove
>> > > > it. Citing papers, even peer reviewed papers, still doesn't prove
>> > anything. The
>> > > > global climate is a very complicated system with lots of inputs.
>Looking
>> > at one
>> > > > input and one change and declaring they are cause and effect is BS.
>As a
>> > > > scientist you should know this. The scientist doing climate research
>> > don't even
>> > > > have really good data on the solar constant for more than the last
>few
>> > years.
>> > > > They are estimating historic temperatures from sketchy data or
>trying to
>> > infere
>> > > > it from effects that they believe are related to the temperature.
>The
>> > errors
>> > > > associated with these measurement are much greater than the changes
>they
>> > are
>> > > > claiming. It is junk science. They decided on the conclusion and
>then
>> > groomed the
>> > > > data to fit it. Anyone that doesn't agree with the establishment is
>> > treated as a
>> > > > loon.
>> > >
>> > > The IPCC model of climate change is hardly "Looking at one input and
>> > > one change and declaring they are cause and effect". In fact, all
>> > > inputs we currently know of as affecting climate are considered, and
>> > > the best estimate of their effects are calculated, complete with
>> > > confidence limits. What makes you think otherwise? What are you
>> > > reading that says it was "Looking at one input and one change and
>> > > declaring they are cause and effect"? What makes you say they "decided
>> > > on the conclusion and then groomed the data to fit it"? Was there some
>> > > kind of big meeting where environmentalists or liberals or the
>> > > climatology establishment or somebody decided that we should screw the
>> > > economy and the best way to do so was to pretend there was global
>> > > warming? Isn't it a bit more likely that the energy industries et al
>> > > have an axe to grind regarding preventing any restrictions on their
>> > > operation?
>> > > And there are plenty of scientists who disagree with the establishment
>> > > who are no treated as loons, in addition to the actual loons.
>> >
>> > I believe they are wrong. They discount solar influence when IMHO it is
>a
>> > far more likely cause. WE know solar output is variable, we know how
>great a
>> > temperature change can result from moderate changes in solar heating
>(think
>> > seasons), and anyone who dismisses Solar influence as a major force
>behind
>> > global warming (Hi LP) is, IMHO, in denial.
>>
>> Well, here are the estimated magnitudes of the components in the IPCC
>> model, with confidence limits <pws.prserv.net/gzuckier/warming.jpg>.
>> Compare the magnitude of the solar component, though large, with the
>> magnitude of the CO2 component, even with the max end of the solar
>> confidence limit and the min end of the CO2 confidence limit. The
>> thing being, that the reasons for the IPCC adopting these estimates
>> are given in the report along with references to the published
>> studies, etc. A far cry from just saying they 'discount' solar
>> warming. So do you have any such evidence for your more solar
>> position? (This wan't meant to be as hostile a challenge as it sounds
>> on reading it, just a conversational inquiry tone).
>
>